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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Liverpool Win & Over 2.5 Goals

July 29, 2026 ยท Tips

Liverpool vs Manchester City shapes up as a Premier League classic with both sides in excellent form. The Reds are momentum-driven with an xG of 2.1 per game over their last five matches, while City's defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed (0.84 xGA per 90).

Key Stats

Liverpool: 7 wins in last 10, xG differential +0.8, home record 2.4 goals per game. Manchester City: Unbeaten in 6, but 3 losses in last 8 away matches. Head-to-head: Liverpool 3-1-1 vs City in last five meetings at Anfield.

The Pick

Back Liverpool Win & Over 2.5 Total Goals at 2.45 odds on 1Win. Liverpool's pressing intensity and City's transitional struggles create goal-scoring opportunities. Expect 3-4 total goals with the Reds capitalizing on set pieces (13 goals from corners this season).

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