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Liverpool vs Manchester City - City to Win

May 11, 2026 · Tips

Liverpool face Manchester City in a crucial Premier League clash. City arrive as favorites despite playing away at Anfield, backed by their recent dominance and superior underlying metrics.

Key Stats

Expected Goals (xG): Man City average 2.1 xG per match this season vs Liverpool's 1.8. City's defensive xG conceded sits at 1.2 compared to Liverpool's 1.5.

ELO Rating: Manchester City: 1842 | Liverpool: 1798. City's 44-point gap reflects their consistency.

Head-to-Head: City have won 4 of the last 6 direct meetings. In away fixtures, City's record against top-6 rivals stands at 7W-2D-3L this season.

Form: Man City: 4 wins in last 5 matches | Liverpool: 2 wins, 2 draws in last 5.

The Pick

Manchester City to Win @ 2.10 on 1Win

City's pressing intensity, midfield control, and clinical finishing make them the smart play here. Liverpool's injury concerns and recent inconsistency further support backing Pep's side. This represents strong value given City's underlying dominance and head-to-head leverage.

Why 1Win

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